Due to the coronavirus geopolitical second wave - new world order will be established
Most European countries believe that the worst phase of the pandemic is behind them, with a dose of concern about a possible second wave
Source: B92
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Ilustracija: Depositphotos/ oneinchpunch
A second wave could follow after life returns to normal - or at least once when society returns to some semblance of normal.
Apart from the epidemiological second wave, Europe and the West are threatened by another danger - a geopolitical second wave, writes the American magazine "Atlantic".
Beyond the epidemiological challenges lies a slowly amassing threat that is not pathological in nature, but economic, political, and military.
The author of this article imagines the following scenario: Just as Europe and the United States begin to feel as if they have the coronavirus under control, it takes hold in the developing world. Exhausted, indebted, and desperate for their own economies to get back up to speed, richer countries are too slow to help. Panic ensues.
Migrants mass in southern Europe, which is still struggling to pull itself out of a coronavirus-induced depression. Somewhere, a state defaults on debt held largely by Western financial institutions. In the chaos, an autocrat eyes an opportunity for a land grab. A United States already unwilling to take the lead leaves China to step into the void and assume the role of "world cup".
This is just one invented scenario of a number that are raising concerns in Western capitals and that were laid out to the author in the conversations with more than half a dozen leading security experts, academics, and government advisers in recent weeks. Few doubted that a second wave was coming. The real concern was where it would land.
History thaught us that great changes set off chain reactions: The Wall Street Crash of 1929 ushered in the New Deal era; Allied victory in 1945 created the conditions for the Cold War. Each event creates political aftershocks and trends that we can see clearly only afterward. The decade that followed the 2008 financial crisis saw the euro zone teeter on the brink of collapse, Britain vote to leave the European Union, and Donald Trump elected president.
"Today, the global economy has suffered another sudden seizure, shifting geopolitics as U.S.-China tensions have risen, trade has slowed markedly, and structural divisions between northern and southern Europe have widened. The question, then, is what might happen in the decade after this crisis?", the author asks himself.
“Historians love chapter breaks,” said Robert Kaplan, an American foreign-policy expert and former member of the U.S. Defense Policy Board, who this month briefed officials at 10 Downing Street on the potential second-order effects of the coronavirus crisis. “COVID-19 will come to be seen as a chapter break”, Kaplan adds in his comment for the "Atlantic".
Let's be serious. There is no comparison between some "New World Order" that people imagine because of their love of drama and the self-revelation of "I am that I am." (Εγω ειμι)
(False comparison, 22 May 2020 14:52)
Of course - few dare to take the name of the God.
The name of the God is Laura Mersini.
The New World Order is about as real, as Flat Earth and 7000 year old dinosaurs.
And education system going away from the State to private and Church hands.
Of course, Fomenko has a soft spot in my heart as well - but the other ones are centered around three abandoned farms with a pile of junked diesel cars.
I think, a better title would be proper.
(Let's be serious..., 21 May 2020 19:49)
Let's be serious. There is no comparison between some "New World Order" that people imagine because of their love of drama and the self-revelation of "I am that I am." (Εγω ειμι)
(False comparison, 22 May 2020 14:52)
Read 'The Fourth Turning' by William Strauss and Neil Howe. It predicts this kind of situation using a paradigm they call the 'Saeculum' (cycle) each of approximately 80 to 100 years and with four turnings of 20 to 25 years each, the fourth and final one of which we have already been in for almost twenty years. Each turning roughly represents how long it takes a generation to reach adulthood.
Events such as Trump, Brexit, the reversal in Syria due to Russian intervention, Ukraine, and so on, and, possibly, this current pandemic, are typical when a cycle ends and a new one waits to begin. Earlier events than those, such as the ruthless destruction of Yugoslavia, wars in the Middle East, 9/11, the bank bailout of 2008, etc, feed into that end of cycle phase because everything is connected.
According to Strauss and Howe's model, the last time we were at this stage in the cycle was around the late 1930s and early 1940s, and we all know what happened at that time.
(TP, 21 May 2020 21:01)
The New World Order is about as real, as Flat Earth and 7000 year old dinosaurs.
And education system going away from the State to private and Church hands.
Of course, Fomenko has a soft spot in my heart as well - but the other ones are centered around three abandoned farms with a pile of junked diesel cars.
I think, a better title would be proper.
(Let's be serious..., 21 May 2020 19:49)
"History thaught us that great changes set off chain reactions: The Wall Street Crash of 1929 ushered in the New Deal era; Allied victory in 1945 created the conditions for the Cold War."
Collaps of Soviet Union ushered an era of removal of all international laws and norms by those who were left standing. It was really bad. I'm really looking forward to coming change.
(Sreten, 21 May 2020 18:09)
"History thaught us that great changes set off chain reactions: The Wall Street Crash of 1929 ushered in the New Deal era; Allied victory in 1945 created the conditions for the Cold War."
Collaps of Soviet Union ushered an era of removal of all international laws and norms by those who were left standing. It was really bad. I'm really looking forward to coming change.
(Sreten, 21 May 2020 18:09)
Read 'The Fourth Turning' by William Strauss and Neil Howe. It predicts this kind of situation using a paradigm they call the 'Saeculum' (cycle) each of approximately 80 to 100 years and with four turnings of 20 to 25 years each, the fourth and final one of which we have already been in for almost twenty years. Each turning roughly represents how long it takes a generation to reach adulthood.
Events such as Trump, Brexit, the reversal in Syria due to Russian intervention, Ukraine, and so on, and, possibly, this current pandemic, are typical when a cycle ends and a new one waits to begin. Earlier events than those, such as the ruthless destruction of Yugoslavia, wars in the Middle East, 9/11, the bank bailout of 2008, etc, feed into that end of cycle phase because everything is connected.
According to Strauss and Howe's model, the last time we were at this stage in the cycle was around the late 1930s and early 1940s, and we all know what happened at that time.
(TP, 21 May 2020 21:01)
The New World Order is about as real, as Flat Earth and 7000 year old dinosaurs.
And education system going away from the State to private and Church hands.
Of course, Fomenko has a soft spot in my heart as well - but the other ones are centered around three abandoned farms with a pile of junked diesel cars.
I think, a better title would be proper.
(Let's be serious..., 21 May 2020 19:49)
The New World Order is about as real, as Flat Earth and 7000 year old dinosaurs.
And education system going away from the State to private and Church hands.
Of course, Fomenko has a soft spot in my heart as well - but the other ones are centered around three abandoned farms with a pile of junked diesel cars.
I think, a better title would be proper.
(Let's be serious..., 21 May 2020 19:49)
Let's be serious. There is no comparison between some "New World Order" that people imagine because of their love of drama and the self-revelation of "I am that I am." (Εγω ειμι)
(False comparison, 22 May 2020 14:52)
Let's be serious. There is no comparison between some "New World Order" that people imagine because of their love of drama and the self-revelation of "I am that I am." (Εγω ειμι)
(False comparison, 22 May 2020 14:52)
Of course - few dare to take the name of the God.
The name of the God is Laura Mersini.
The New World Order is about as real, as Flat Earth and 7000 year old dinosaurs.
And education system going away from the State to private and Church hands.
Of course, Fomenko has a soft spot in my heart as well - but the other ones are centered around three abandoned farms with a pile of junked diesel cars.
I think, a better title would be proper.
(Let's be serious..., 21 May 2020 19:49)
Read 'The Fourth Turning' by William Strauss and Neil Howe. It predicts this kind of situation using a paradigm they call the 'Saeculum' (cycle) each of approximately 80 to 100 years and with four turnings of 20 to 25 years each, the fourth and final one of which we have already been in for almost twenty years. Each turning roughly represents how long it takes a generation to reach adulthood.
Events such as Trump, Brexit, the reversal in Syria due to Russian intervention, Ukraine, and so on, and, possibly, this current pandemic, are typical when a cycle ends and a new one waits to begin. Earlier events than those, such as the ruthless destruction of Yugoslavia, wars in the Middle East, 9/11, the bank bailout of 2008, etc, feed into that end of cycle phase because everything is connected.
According to Strauss and Howe's model, the last time we were at this stage in the cycle was around the late 1930s and early 1940s, and we all know what happened at that time.
(TP, 21 May 2020 21:01)
"History thaught us that great changes set off chain reactions: The Wall Street Crash of 1929 ushered in the New Deal era; Allied victory in 1945 created the conditions for the Cold War."
Collaps of Soviet Union ushered an era of removal of all international laws and norms by those who were left standing. It was really bad. I'm really looking forward to coming change.
(Sreten, 21 May 2020 18:09)
The New World Order is about as real, as Flat Earth and 7000 year old dinosaurs.
And education system going away from the State to private and Church hands.
Of course, Fomenko has a soft spot in my heart as well - but the other ones are centered around three abandoned farms with a pile of junked diesel cars.
I think, a better title would be proper.
(Let's be serious..., 21 May 2020 19:49)
Let's be serious. There is no comparison between some "New World Order" that people imagine because of their love of drama and the self-revelation of "I am that I am." (Εγω ειμι)
(False comparison, 22 May 2020 14:52)
Let's be serious. There is no comparison between some "New World Order" that people imagine because of their love of drama and the self-revelation of "I am that I am." (Εγω ειμι)
(False comparison, 22 May 2020 14:52)
Of course - few dare to take the name of the God.
The name of the God is Laura Mersini.